Opinion Poll Results : Bihar Assembly Elections 2010
19th Oct. 2010, results of the opinion poll conducted by STAR News-Ac Nielson indicates that Nitish Kumar led JD(U)-BJP alliance willretain the power with clear majority in the upcoming Bihar assembly elections. According to the results of the opinion poll, JD(U)-BJP alliance may get 170 seats in the 243-member house. In the last Assembly elections (2005), JD(U)-BJP alliance had won 143 seats with 36.1% vote share.
The opinion poll indicates that the allies will consolidate their position and their overall share of votes will increase to 41 per cent.
RJD_LJP alliance lead by Lalu Prasad Yadav-Ram Vilas Paswan is expected to reduce their total tally to just 34 seats, says the opinion poll. RJD-LJP alliance will lose around 10 % vote share and that may prove disastrous for them. In the 2005 elections, Lalu-Paswan combine had a tally of 64 seats with a vote share of 34.6 per cent. In the 2010 elections, they may gett just 25 per cent vote share.
The opinion poll indicates Congress improving its total tally to 22 seats (from 9 seats in 2005). The vote share of Congress is also said to rise from 6.1 per cent to 10 per cent.
In summary following is the expected outcome according to the opinion poll survey :
| Party/Alliance | No Of Seats Expected |
| JDU+BJP | 170 |
| RJD+LJP | 34 |
| INC | 22 |
| Others | 17 |
| Total | 243 |
Considering the performance of various political parties in the Parliamentary Elections held in 2009 and the voting pattern observed following would be the expected figures:
| Politcial Party | No Of Seats |
| JDU | 110 |
| BJP | 65 |
| RJD | 33 |
| LJP | 5 |
| INC | 10 |
| BSP | 2 |
| Independent | 10 |
| CPI | 5 |
| Others | 3 |
| Total | 243 |
| Detailed Phase wise Schedule: Bihar Assembly Elections 2010 | |||||
| Phase 1 | Phase 2 | Phase 3 | Phase 4 | Phase 5 | Phase 6 |
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| State Assembly Elections 2005 | |||
Party |
Contested |
Won |
VOTE* % |
| JD(U) | 139 | 88 | 37.14 |
| BJP | 102 | 55 | 35.64 |
| RJD | 175 | 54 | 32.63 |
| LJP | 203 | 10 | 13.72 |
| INC | 51 | 9 | 29.04 |
| BSP | 212 | 4 | 4.75 |
| CPI | 35 | 3 | 14.54 |
| CPM | 10 | 1 | 16.09 |
| NCP | 8 | 1 | 21.68 |
| Others** | 1309 | 18 | |
| TOTAL | 2135 | 243 | |
* Percentage of votes for the AC **Others consist of Independents and all other parties who contested in the elections |
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RULING PARTY |
| JD(U)+ |
| Chief Minister |
| Mr. Nitish Kumar |
| State Government |
| State Chief Electoral Officer |
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